For the 2d time Donald Trump has been topped in Iowa, but this time it is by the surging Ted Cruz.  Iowa is actually a perfect fit for Cruz since it has a strong evangelical/Tea Party base.   Even so, the poll shows a very tight race with top 4 contenders.  Trump and Carson continue to slide, but Marco Rubio continues to gain momentum with Cruz.  However, all 4 remain close contenders.  It breaks out as follows:

24% – Cruz

19% – Trump

17% – Rubio

13% – Carson

6% – Bush

4% – Paul

3% – Fiorina

3% – Kasich

2% – Christie

2% – Huckabee

1% – Santorum

<1% – Graham

13% – Undecided

There is still room to play in Iowa beyond the 13%.  Only 20% of the respondents have “completely decided” on their vote.  49% have a “strong preference,” but another 18% of those making a selection only indicated a “slight preference.”  In other words,  among the top 4, it’s anybody’s game.

12/07 Monmouth University Poll